QUOTE (propp16 @ Nov 5 2008, 09:37 AM)

I think my post was poorly worded. I don't think Downie is bad and I have no issue with him as a player. The general perception I've gotten is that, because he was a first round pick, many people expect him to turn into a top notch star. I don't think he's a top tier first round pick and I just don't foresee that happening -- but Avery might be a good comparison. So, I think you might be elaborating the point I never clearly made here: It's not fair to expect the same sort of development out of him as we might out of those other picks. I think I go too far sometimes to counter overzealous expectations.
You're absolutely right in saying that he needs time to develop, like any young player. I completely agree with that. I just don't see it happening here. There's just not enough room at the NHL level. He's not getting the playing time he deserves and I think that bouncing around between the AHL and NHL might slow down his progress. While Downie's trade value may not be at it's peak right now, I think he is still good trade bait because I think a lot of teams would be very anxious to buy low on someone like him. I just hope the Flyers don't do to him what the Capitals were accused of doing to Eminger.
Here is how I read this whole situation: The Flyers are not looking for more young offensive talent. They're giving Giroux and JvR the proper time to develop and those two are expected to walk right onto the team once they are ready (although Giroux hasn't turned out to be what they thought yet.) Any other forward in the system will be used as cheap call-ups for the next few years. Downie does not fit into the role of a Flyer and he might not fit the organization's purpose as a Phantom for very long. We've seen decent offensive prospects traded away in the last year or two because the Flyers won't have much of a use for them. Outside of Asham taking up a roster spot, the lineup is pretty set.
The question of "Who should be traded in exchange for a defenseman or goalie?" often arises. To me, Downie is the clear choice (not the only choice, though.) He isn't being given the opportunity to make an impact with the big club and he'll be good trade bait. The organization hasn't done much to showcase his talent but they have at least minimized his reputation as an erratic hothead. Taking him out of the category of Hollweg, Simon, etc. might do wonders for his trade value.
Ok, I understand what you are saying. I don't think anyone expects Downie to be a star. He was an immediate fan favorite, but I think that has more to do with his style of play which Philadelphia fans love. I agree he is not a top tier first round pick, but that's why he was taken with the 29th pick. That talent level severely drops off by pick 29. The odds of someone making it in the NHL that were picked at that spot are very slim. So the fact that the Flyers drafted someone who will be a full time NHLer (in my opinion) is a very good pick. I think we get spoiled with late picks like Giroux and Richards, but that is more of a testiment to the Flyers scounting department and not the quality of player that is typically available late in the first. Teams drafting that low are more likely to end up with a player that busts than the quality of talent that the Flyers have been able to pick out.
I don't see why he can't get time to develop here. He can get development time on the Phantoms so there is absolutely no reason to trade him right now. You're right teams might be anxious to buy low on him, but that doesn't benefit the Flyers if they are buying low on him. Which is why I fear it would be another Sharp trade. At the very least the Flyers should let him tear it up for the Phantoms for a while before trading him. Trading him right now would be a huge mistake unless he would be a part of a package deal.
I don't see how Downie doesn't fit the role of a Flyer or Phantom. That doesn't make sense to me. The prospects that were traded away don't have the offensive upside of Downie. He is a much better prospect so just because they dealt them doesn't mean they are going to rush to deal Downie.
I am not sure I agree if the organization has done much to minimize the perception of him being a hothead. The fact that Stevens benches him after each mistake he makes doesn't send that message. Not only hasn't the organization done much showcase his talent, their handling of him has likely hurt his value at the current moment.
QUOTE (FiveHoleFrankie @ Nov 5 2008, 09:38 AM)

I never knew why people held Downie at such a high regard. Last year, we had threads on this board that almost had me convinced that Downie could actually walk on water. I've always thought that he was way overrated and while you can make the argument that he didn't have the time to show off his skills, i can say that a lot of rookies came into the NHL firing on all cylinders.
But, if we choose to trade Downie, shouldn't Stevens be showcasing him by actually playing him in games? If he's such an agitator with skill, why not increase his value by showing it off, hence gaining more in return.
I don't know... a lot of things the Flyers have done thi syear are confusing me.
Like I said above, Downie was a fan favorite because Flyers fans love his style of play. For those of us who follow prospects and got to see him play in the past know that he is the type of player that would do anything to win. He was also a clutch player that was often the difference maker in big games. You are right there are rookies that have come into the NHL firing on all cylinders, but many don't. Many players need time to adjust and to develop. As I said Sean Avery was in Downie's same position at his age. Downie has more skill than Avery so I think he will be fine.
QUOTE (FiveHoleFrankie @ Nov 5 2008, 09:51 AM)

I don't think that we can rule out the possibility of him being a lifetime Phantom player.
No, you can't rule that out with any prospect but there is no reason to believe that at this point. If he was 27 I'd be likely to agree, but he's 21 and has less than a season's worth of games as a pro (AHL + NHL combined).